THEME
SEG
MEX
Segment Derivative Exchange
Binary Contracts
Segment Derivatives
Analyst Consensus
Continuous Accuracy
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SEG
MEX
$100M
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Binary Contracts
Segment Derivatives
Analyst Consensus
Continuous Accuracy
⚡
Binary contracts settle $1 (YES) or $0 (NO) based on SEC EDGAR XBRL-reported segment revenue vs threshold. Automated settlement. No human judgment.
AMZN
AWS Revenue · Q2 2026
$0.67
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AMZN
·
AWS Revenue
Q2 2026 · Settles Aug 2026 · XBRL: amzn:AWSSegmentMember
BINARY
Price
Depth
Probability
Consensus
🎲 Trade by Probability
🎲 Trade by Probability — Express your view as a % chance
📈 YES — Will Beat
📉 NO — Will Miss
Quick:
90% Strong YES
75% Likely YES
60% Lean YES
50% Coin Flip
40% Lean NO
25% Likely NO
10% Strong NO
Your implied probability that this contract resolves YES
65%
Your Prob
65%
Market Price
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Your Edge
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▸ Show P&L details & comparison
Your implied probability
65%
Market implied (mid price)
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Historical beat rate
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Derived contract price
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Implied edge vs market
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Quantity (contracts)
Total notional
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Max profit
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Max loss (cost)
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BUY YES @ 65% implied · $0.65 per contract
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Order Book
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Price
Qty
Total
Spr:
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Mid:
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Recent Trades
BUY
SELL
LMT
MKT
STP
Price ($)
Quantity
Value
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📄 XBRL settlement
PLACE BUY
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📄 Settlement Reference
XBRL Tag
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Period
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Consensus
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Beat Rate
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Settles
SEC EDGAR 10-Q · Auto
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